Leeds United are on the brink of Premier League survival after moving to 43 points with a win over Burnley, putting them in a strong position to stay up.
Manager Daniel Farke has remained cautious, insisting celebrations must wait until safety is mathematically secured. Still, that could happen before their trip to face Tottenham next Monday.
Despite Leeds’ stronger position, the clash in north London could still be pivotal. A win for Spurs may be enough to secure their own survival, while any positive result for Leeds could drag Tottenham back into trouble.
Prediction raises eyebrows
Ahead of the game, a supercomputer prediction has delivered a surprising verdict.
Tottenham have collected seven points from their last three league matches and appear to be building momentum in their fight to escape the relegation zone. However, Leeds have arguably been more consistent, both in results and overall performances.
Data analysts at Opta have evaluated recent form and statistics—and somewhat unexpectedly, they give Tottenham Hotspur a significantly higher chance of victory.
Spurs are reportedly backed with over a 45% probability of winning, while Leeds United are given less than a 28% chance of taking all three points.
That projection is raising questions, especially given Leeds’ stronger league position and Tottenham’s poor home record this season, with just two league wins on their own ground.
Interestingly, Spurs’ recent victories have come away from home—against Wolves and Aston Villa—prompting the club to call on supporters to create an intense atmosphere for the upcoming fixture.
Leeds eye revenge
Even if survival is confirmed before kickoff, Leeds are unlikely to ease off.
Former striker Jermaine Beckford has urged the team to dent Tottenham’s survival hopes, adding extra edge to the encounter.
Leeds were beaten by Spurs earlier this season at Elland Road in a match they felt they deserved more from, and they head into the rematch with a point to prove.
Elsewhere, West Ham United will also be watching closely, hoping Leeds can take points off Tottenham to keep the relegation battle alive.
For Spurs boss Roberto De Zerbi, much may depend on Leeds’ mindset—especially if their safety is already secured before the game begins.
